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Home Science Research

Beyond the Pledge

The Economics and Equity of Climate Policy in 2025

by CHRISPIN DAMBULA
May 7, 2025
Beyond the Pledge

Nearly a decade after the signing of the Paris Agreement, the global race to limit warming to 1.5°C remains perilously close—and increasingly complex. While some countries have bent the emissions curve, the world as a whole is still on a trajectory that risks surpassing safe planetary thresholds. Yet amid this urgency, a new field of climate policy and economics is reshaping how we pursue ambitious climate goals—while ensuring fairness and resilience for all.

Post-Paris Progress: Where Do We Stand?
The latest scientific assessments in 2025 offer a sobering picture. According to the UN’s Global Stocktake, the world is not yet on track to meet the 1.5°C target, though emissions have started to plateau thanks to renewable energy expansion and rising climate awareness. Countries like Chile, Kenya, and Norway are leading by example, showing that aggressive climate action is possible across different geographies and economies.

But climate commitments must be backed by policies that are not only effective—but also just and economically sound.

Carbon Pricing & Green Finance
Carbon pricing mechanisms—such as carbon taxes and emissions trading systems—are being retooled in 2025 to deliver greater accountability and fairness. The European Union’s carbon border adjustment mechanism is setting the stage for global trade to reflect true environmental costs. Meanwhile, countries in the Global South are pioneering innovative green finance tools, including debt-for-climate swaps and climate resilience bonds, enabling them to address environmental vulnerabilities without deepening economic hardship.

Major banks and institutional investors are increasingly moving capital away from fossil fuel projects and into clean energy, regenerative agriculture, and climate tech start-ups. The rise of green finance reflects not only ecological concern, but also the recognition that climate risk is financial risk.

The Just Transition Imperative
At the heart of climate policy today is the idea of a “just transition”—ensuring that decarbonization doesn’t come at the cost of workers, Indigenous communities, or low-income nations. This includes supporting fossil fuel workers retraining into green sectors, investing in community-owned renewable projects, and addressing historic inequalities in global emissions responsibility.

Climate justice isn’t a fringe issue—it is central to any viable climate strategy. Without fairness, the politics of climate action will falter.

As 2025 unfolds, the challenge is not just reducing carbon—but designing a future where the benefits of climate action are shared by all.

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